Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.000670 0.000760 0.000856 0.000965 0.001084 0.001211 0.001356
2025-11-23 0.000510 0.000632 0.000770 0.000937 0.001131 0.001350 0.001613
2025-11-30 0.000432 0.000569 0.000730 0.000934 0.001180 0.001467 0.001824
2025-12-07 0.000374 0.000520 0.000699 0.000933 0.001225 0.001576 0.002024
2025-12-14 0.000325 0.000474 0.000665 0.000922 0.001253 0.001660 0.002192
2025-12-21 0.000283 0.000433 0.000632 0.000907 0.001271 0.001730 0.002341
2025-12-28 0.000262 0.000418 0.000630 0.000931 0.001339 0.001862 0.002571
2026-01-04 0.000241 0.000400 0.000622 0.000946 0.001393 0.001976 0.002779
2026-01-11 0.000216 0.000373 0.000600 0.000938 0.001415 0.002048 0.002933
2026-01-18 0.000193 0.000347 0.000577 0.000927 0.001430 0.002109 0.003074
2026-01-25 0.000178 0.000333 0.000568 0.000935 0.001473 0.002208 0.003266
2026-02-01 0.000163 0.000317 0.000556 0.000937 0.001505 0.002293 0.003440
2026-02-08 0.000142 0.000289 0.000524 0.000908 0.001490 0.002313 0.003526
2026-02-15 0.000125 0.000265 0.000497 0.000884 0.001484 0.002342 0.003626
2026-02-22 0.000114 0.000251 0.000484 0.000880 0.001505 0.002412 0.003782
2026-03-01 0.000104 0.000238 0.000473 0.000879 0.001530 0.002487 0.003948
2026-03-08 0.000094 0.000224 0.000457 0.000869 0.001540 0.002540 0.004082
2026-03-15 0.000084 0.000209 0.000439 0.000855 0.001543 0.002581 0.004199
2026-03-22 0.000080 0.000206 0.000443 0.000878 0.001606 0.002713 0.004453
2026-03-29 0.000076 0.000201 0.000442 0.000892 0.001653 0.002823 0.004675
2026-04-05 0.000069 0.000190 0.000430 0.000885 0.001665 0.002879 0.004818
2026-04-12 0.000062 0.000179 0.000416 0.000874 0.001672 0.002925 0.004947
2026-04-19 0.000058 0.000174 0.000412 0.000882 0.001710 0.003022 0.005153